As part of the ongoing ABA Legal Rebels series, Paul Lippe of Legal OnRamp provides a nice Preview of The 2011 Legal Landscape. It’s a good piece that focuses on the unsustainability of the way junior associates are currently leveraged in BigLaw firms. Lippe compares a theoretical million-dollar bill for legal services today, and the same bill, chopped down to $800,000, in 2011, and offers an explanation of where the missing $200K went.
Where will those dollars go? Four places.
- Clients will just flat out spend less, drive harder bargains and get more for their money
- Some work will go to outsourcers, whether onshore or off
- More work will go to contract lawyers or proto-associates not on any kind of partnership track
- Some associate time will get replaced by technology
In a piece for Outsell’s Insights service, Associates: In the Legal Industry’s Crosshairs (pw protected), I noted that many of the the economic and structural troubles in the industry can be traced to the system of over-leveraged and under-skilled associates.
Legal information providers, when thinking about Lippe’s theoretical 20% smaller law firm bill, have to be wondering how they will fare in 2011 and beyond as well. The party is over, less money is coming in, and there will be severe pressure on research budgets; less money coming in for firms will translate into less money available for publishers. One way out is to focus on Lippe’s four places above, particularly the last one. As I put it in the Insights piece,
Legal publishers and information providers looking for a better mousetrap in this market might start by asking how they help law firms (and in-house legal departments) use technology, collaboration, and/or new business models to deliver routine legal work more cheaply, and with better quality, than the typically inexperienced and inefficient first-year associate.
The challenge for legal information providers (or anyone else who wants to make a buck in this environment) is to get inside what associates do all day, pick it apart into its component pieces, and find a way to provide the same service some other way.